Christian Conservative Christian "Independent"

I'm an evangelical Christian, member of the CPC, but presently & unjustly exiled to wander the political wilderness.
All opinions expressed here are solely my own.

Thursday, July 08, 2010

My prediction on Iffy correct... 23%

EKOS numbers are out today, and they don't look good for the Liberals... Team IFFY is down to just 23%... even AFTER all the G20 "Fake Lake" garbage. Just for the record, that's LOWER than Dion's WORST numbers.

May I direct your attention to my prediction from September of 2009...
"I say he'll at least best (worst?) Dion's numbers by a point... 23% is my guess."

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  • At Thu. Jul. 08, 01:45:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Ted Betts said…

    Tory caucus memo:

    "While we do hold a lead over the Liberals, Caucus members should be aware that a 10-point lead is inconsistent with the findings of other pollsters and our own, internal assessments."

  • At Thu. Jul. 08, 01:48:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    good call, but i think he can break 20. Iggy must have spit his latte when he read this poll.

  • At Thu. Jul. 08, 02:05:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger wilson said…

    EKOS goes from one extream to the other.
    When Lib numbers get back up to where other more consistant polls are,
    Frank will declare
    "Iffy's cross country tour a huge success"....

    It's that fake momentum thing.

  • At Thu. Jul. 08, 07:33:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    You could very well be right, Wilson. Never thought about that. Good point, as we all know that the EKOS poll variations have all been within margin of error bands for years. EKOS would know how to "subtly tweak (cook?) the survey", if they wanted to do so.

    Any solid statistician knows that 1100 respondents is a lousy sample of 34 Million Canadians. But publishing these weak polls probably does influence (uninformed) public opinion, just as negative media press does.

    I continue to admire how our PM manages his day job, while also fighting deliberately set bush fires and managing perceptions, which he must do, as most Canadians are not paying any attention to serious matters that will affect them.



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