Will the Opposition's strategy backfire?
Been thinking about it all weekend, as lots of people have asked me the question, "Will it be a minority or majority?"
I keep giving them my honest take on the situation... I'd like a majority, but I think we're in for a stronger minority, plain and simple. However, will all the Opposition parties already talking about a majority posibility, I got to thinking...
Even with a minority win, Mr. Harper will once again have a defacto majority for the first year and a half, maybe even two years, since the Liberals will be in disarray and won't dare take the Government down. I guess my message to Canadians is that due to the forthcoming Liberal paralysis, like we saw in this session of Parliament, voters should vote with their hearts, and not how the Liberals tell them to vote via their "Fear and Smear" campaign.
Secondly, this weekend I was thinking about how the Opposition parties keep on talking about "Majority"... almost as if the outcome, a Conservative victory, is a foregone conclusion. I'm thinking that the Opposision, by trying to scare voters with the prospect of a Harper "Majority" right out of the gate, might even see that strategy backfire on them. If voters keep on hearing "Majority" throughout the campaign, they might even start to get comfortable with the idea... and they might even start to like the idea of not having to go to the polls again until 2012.
So to all the Opposition bloggers out there, you just keep on talking about the "scary" prospect of a Conservative "Majority"... though I don't personally think that's going to happen.
Of course, web polls like this one on CTV.ca today don't hurt our chances either...
I keep giving them my honest take on the situation... I'd like a majority, but I think we're in for a stronger minority, plain and simple. However, will all the Opposition parties already talking about a majority posibility, I got to thinking...
Even with a minority win, Mr. Harper will once again have a defacto majority for the first year and a half, maybe even two years, since the Liberals will be in disarray and won't dare take the Government down. I guess my message to Canadians is that due to the forthcoming Liberal paralysis, like we saw in this session of Parliament, voters should vote with their hearts, and not how the Liberals tell them to vote via their "Fear and Smear" campaign.
Secondly, this weekend I was thinking about how the Opposition parties keep on talking about "Majority"... almost as if the outcome, a Conservative victory, is a foregone conclusion. I'm thinking that the Opposision, by trying to scare voters with the prospect of a Harper "Majority" right out of the gate, might even see that strategy backfire on them. If voters keep on hearing "Majority" throughout the campaign, they might even start to get comfortable with the idea... and they might even start to like the idea of not having to go to the polls again until 2012.
So to all the Opposition bloggers out there, you just keep on talking about the "scary" prospect of a Conservative "Majority"... though I don't personally think that's going to happen.
Of course, web polls like this one on CTV.ca today don't hurt our chances either...
4 Comments:
At Mon Sep 08, 11:54:00 a.m. EDT, wilson said…
Exactly! Fear of a Harper majority or not, it is now entrenched in Canadians brains, Harper will win at least a minority. The real fight is for Opposition leader.
In Quebec, Dippers will be the anti-Harper vote, not Duceppe.
Duceppe tried to get out last year, got trapped into fighting an election he knew he would lose.
At Mon Sep 08, 02:22:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous said…
Two people that would be victims of this election are Dion and Duceppe I see. (real conservative)
At Mon Sep 08, 03:14:00 p.m. EDT, Beast said…
As other bloggers are saying. We've just had basically a Majority PC Government. What's so scary.
At Mon Sep 08, 11:45:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous said…
To date the only ones who seem to be buying into this "scare people into not giving Harper a majority" are those committed to one of the other parties. In my end of Ontario I am getting a lot of "non-alligned" people saying they are sick of these minority governments and elections all the time. If this is a wide spread feeling, many may simply choose to vote for whatever party looks like it will form government so they will get a majority and we won't have to vote for a long time! This could be an increasingly important factor as we get further into the campaign.
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