Christian Conservative Christian "Independent"

I'm an evangelical Christian, member of the CPC, but presently & unjustly exiled to wander the political wilderness.
All opinions expressed here are solely my own.

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Tories 10 point lead returns

37% vs. 27%, according to Ipsos Reid. Finally... took a bit longer than I'd expected, I thought we'd have seen these numbers back by late February. Regardless, it's nice to see that the Canadian public are paying attention to real issues of governance, rather than Opposition manufactured "outrage" over normal Parliamentary procedure.

In other news, Liberals cancel their search for a campaign plane... seeing as there's no way they're going to be needing it anytime soon.

h/t to the ever vigilant Stephen Taylor.

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  • At Sun. Apr. 11, 08:25:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Joe said…

    Yes they can cancel the search for a campaign airplane. Its a good thing since they couldn't afford it anyway.

  • At Sun. Apr. 11, 08:41:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Stale dated Poll.

    Taken before Cabinet-PMO implosion of Thursday-Friday.

    Stay tuned....

  • At Sun. Apr. 11, 09:06:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Paul M said…

    I guess poor Iggy will have to cancel plans for that Cesna they were going to rent for the campaign. ;)

  • At Sun. Apr. 11, 09:24:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Scott Tribe said…

    Uh.. this is a poll courtesy of "oopsie-Reid".. who always oversample the COns. Call me when other more credible pollsters show the same lead.

  • At Mon. Apr. 12, 01:47:00 a.m. EDT, Anonymous Michael Harkov said…

    We'll take you up on that, Scott.

  • At Mon. Apr. 12, 07:32:00 a.m. EDT, Blogger Alberta Girl said…

    Oh really think that Helena's poor judgement is in anyway a reflection on how Stephen Harper has run this country....really?????

    You guys are always telling us that THIS is the thing that is going to take him down and that THIS poll isn't accurate.

    I don't put much stock in polls, Anony because what I learned in Stats 101 is that polls can be made to say whatever you want them to say - depends on the questions but most of all it depends on WHO is asking the questions.

    So I will "stay tuned", anony....I suggest you do the same. It will be the same as it has been for the last four years - and you will jump up and down when the polls go down and will cringe a bit when they go back up.

  • At Mon. Apr. 12, 07:33:00 a.m. EDT, Blogger Alberta Girl said…

    "Uh.. this is a poll courtesy of "oopsie-Reid".. who always oversample the COns. Call me when other more credible pollsters show the same lead."

    Um, Scott, you mean as opposed to EKOS who always oversample the Libs?? THAT "credible" pollser?

  • At Mon. Apr. 12, 08:06:00 a.m. EDT, Blogger Top Can Inc. said…

    Hey CC,

    Yes, you guys are back in the 10 point margin area, but the article you provided the link for also said this:

    "In retrospect, it may look like it was a smart thing to do (prorogation), but one also wonders if what it did was put them in a situation where they couldn't grow from the lead that they had before," he said. "So if they wouldn't have done it, maybe they'd be at 42 [per cent] or 43, instead of 37."

    So if you guys hadn't prorogued, and if Guergisgate didn't happen, the numbers would probably be higher and Harper would be peeing his pants just thinking about dropping the writ.

    I find our electoral system very awkward because, like in the British system, both major parties do not need the same amount of popular support to gain a majority. The Tories need at least a few points over 40% to achieve a majority, while the Liberals (back in 1997) formed a majority with 38% of the vote. To be nonpartisan here, I don't think it's fair for either party.

  • At Mon. Apr. 12, 11:33:00 a.m. EDT, Blogger wilson said…

    'In retrospect' is a silly game Top Can Inc.

    In retrospect where would the Liberals be if they
    -hadn't run on the Green Shift
    -hadn't sat for a photo opp with Duceppe
    -hadn't tossed Dion out
    -hadn't rejected PMSHs call for input into the 2 budgets
    -hadn't backed down, over and over

    Just coming out of the great recession, PMSH even being tied with the mighty Liberals is amazing,
    and defies history.

    If PMSH wins the next election,
    it goes into the history books as another first.
    First 'Conservative' PM in Cdn history to survive a recession with re-election!!


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