The Chrétien Factor
Well, trick or treat, the PMO is getting the first copy of the report in six and a half hours. (wonder if there will be a leak to the press just in time for the front page? Look to the Star and the Globe, the Liberal friendly papers, for that)
But everyone seems to be missing one all important factor when it comes to timing of the next election. It's in all the Opposition parties best interest, even the NDP, to force an election immediately. Why? Everyone seems to be forgetting the Chrétien Factor.
Either one of two things will happen with the release of the report. Either 1) some of it will stick to the current PMO, which will kill the Liberals in the polls, and all the other parties are likely to pick up seats.
Or 2) most of the blame will fall on Chrétien. And as we all know, the "Little Guy from Shawinigan" is not going to take that lying down. He and his camp hate Paul Martin, and if Mr. Martin tries to say "See, it was the past administration!", believe me, there are going to be some internal party fireworks that will make all of the supposed Conservative divisiveness look like a quiet, harmonious family picnic!
The attack dogs of the Liberal old guard will come out swinging. Look for the Warren Kinsella's of the past to roar with a vengance. They will not let Chrétien take the fall for this. And Chrétien will most certainly not allow Paul Martin to plunge one last nail into his coffin. There's no way that he'll "take one for the team" during an election while he has the chance to once and for all destroy his greatest enemy; the man who quietly forced him into early retirement, and now seeks to make him alone take the fall for the Sponsorship Scandal.
The Right Hon. Paul Martin is in a loose/loose situation. If he takes any of the heat, he'll be tossed out of 24 Sussex. If he can deflect any of the heat, he'll be eaten alive by some in his own Party. No wonder they had to stack the calendar to try desperately to prevent an early election.
To all the Opposition Leaders... even if an election will fall on Boxing Day, you MUST bring this House down NOW. Any further delay will ensure that the Liberals will win again the next time around.
But everyone seems to be missing one all important factor when it comes to timing of the next election. It's in all the Opposition parties best interest, even the NDP, to force an election immediately. Why? Everyone seems to be forgetting the Chrétien Factor.
Either one of two things will happen with the release of the report. Either 1) some of it will stick to the current PMO, which will kill the Liberals in the polls, and all the other parties are likely to pick up seats.
Or 2) most of the blame will fall on Chrétien. And as we all know, the "Little Guy from Shawinigan" is not going to take that lying down. He and his camp hate Paul Martin, and if Mr. Martin tries to say "See, it was the past administration!", believe me, there are going to be some internal party fireworks that will make all of the supposed Conservative divisiveness look like a quiet, harmonious family picnic!
The attack dogs of the Liberal old guard will come out swinging. Look for the Warren Kinsella's of the past to roar with a vengance. They will not let Chrétien take the fall for this. And Chrétien will most certainly not allow Paul Martin to plunge one last nail into his coffin. There's no way that he'll "take one for the team" during an election while he has the chance to once and for all destroy his greatest enemy; the man who quietly forced him into early retirement, and now seeks to make him alone take the fall for the Sponsorship Scandal.
The Right Hon. Paul Martin is in a loose/loose situation. If he takes any of the heat, he'll be tossed out of 24 Sussex. If he can deflect any of the heat, he'll be eaten alive by some in his own Party. No wonder they had to stack the calendar to try desperately to prevent an early election.
To all the Opposition Leaders... even if an election will fall on Boxing Day, you MUST bring this House down NOW. Any further delay will ensure that the Liberals will win again the next time around.
3 Comments:
At Mon Oct 31, 11:45:00 p.m. EST, Anonymous said…
Unfortunatley-for all of us_ the conservatives are just too stupid to succeed.
Horny Toad
At Tue Nov 01, 07:31:00 a.m. EST, Anonymous said…
Agreed. The Conservatives are unelectable with Harper at the helm.
At Tue Nov 01, 09:48:00 a.m. EST, Anonymous said…
Nonsense. It doesn't matter who is in charge of the conservative party.
Unfortunately, persons like yourselves tend to believe that the personality of the leader dictates the direction of the party. One would think this would be a logical way for politics to be.
Fact remains, the Libs have a complete assembly line of media players and conservative plants to snipe any opportunity for the PC's to make gains. Even if we had Mother Theresa as leader the Lib plants and the media would charaterize her as against womens' rights.
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