That EKOS Poll on Proroguing

You gotta love how much the media and the Opposition is jumping all over the most recent EKOS poll, asking specifically about the Prorogue. They're saying "Canadians are outraged".

Really? That's not how I read the data... take a look for yourself at this KEY section of the poll:

Now, let's delve down into the nuts and bolts, shall we?

First of all, it's a pretty good split in terms of Party lines... with just 14% of identified CPC supporters saying they strongly oppose the move (37 people in all), and 17% (or 45 people) saying they somewhat oppose it. Now, my gut is that a solid 80-90% of these folks are going to come back to the fold come election time, so that's not a HUGE issue to me. However, take a CLOSER look at the other parties numbers... in the STRONGLY SUPPORT category? LPC 4% of 205, NDP 7% of 83, Green 3.5% of 74, BQ 5% of 48. And the SOMEWHAT SUPPORT numbers? Average of 12% of each of the other Parties. COME AGAIN? Liberals and NDP, and even Bloc supporters, SUPPORTING the Prorogue? In fact, the STRONGLY OPPOSED segment in all three major Coalition partners only averages around 60%.

Translation? Partisan tempest in a teapot.

The only number that's any cause of concern WHATSOEVER is the 40% STRONGLY OPPOSED amongst UNDECIDEDS. However, with that block only totaling 77 respondents, and 26% of them providing no answer at all, that 40% translates into only 31 people. The 24.2% UNDECIDED who only SOMEWHAT OPPOSE? That means it's not a ballot box issue for them, and they're still easily winnable with a good Budget and solid platform.

All in all, I'd say this poll is telling the PM that he made a good move. The public "backlash" that the media is touting just isn't there, though we'll have to see how things pan out over the next few weeks. And if the rumours I hear are true, and we're going to have 5 new Senators named tomorrow, then this issue gets pushed even further on to the back burner.

So here's the transcript of this whole affair, in terms of what Harper just told Iggy... CHECK, YOUR MOVE.

Of course, there's one more thing that's been rattling around in the back of my mind with these numbers... those 33 of 205 Liberals who said they were STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT SUPPORT the Prorogue of Parliament? You've got to wonder how many of those people are Rae supporters...

Just a note, may not be available to post comments tonight, so don't go crying "censorship!" and all, okay Libs?