Christian Conservative Christian "Independent"

I'm an evangelical Christian, member of the CPC, but presently & unjustly exiled to wander the political wilderness.
All opinions expressed here are solely my own.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

UPDATE: New Liberal hints for a June election

CONFIRMED: See update below for Scott Tribe's two cents, which seems to confirm the Liberal game plan... the Liberals plan to send us to the polls in June.

Thanks to reader Alan, who caught this one... the two Liberal aides who left Dion's office yesterday are former Liberal MP's who were defeated in the 2006 election... Eleni Bakopanos and Paddy Tornsey. (story originally burried deep in this Globe & Mail article today)

If the Liberals have indeed decided that they are going to take us down, it would make the most sense for them to leave now to begin campaigning full time in an effort to regain their seats. However, it also makes sense that they wouldn't be leaving their posts in the OLO unless then knew FOR SURE that the House was going to fall... hence, it looks like the chances of a June election are well above the 80% mark in my books.

It really looks like the real thing this time folks... unless of course, as I surmised earlier today, Jack Layton and the NDP pull out some procedural move designed to further weaken Dion's image... which isn't beyond the realm of possibilities.

UPDATE: The National Post weighs in on the issue of a June election, reporting that some MP's really want to go now, while Dion and his team have some reasons to wait. (a bit of a reversal it seems)

CONFIRMATION UPDATE II: Scott Tribe has confirmed part of the theory, that indeed one of the two former MP's, by her own admission, has stepped down in part to focus on campaigning...
At Thu Apr 17, 12:17:00 PM EDT, Scott Tribe said…

Alan is correct, in at least Paddy's case. I have it on very good authority (from Paddy herself) that she was released on purpose to concentrate on the Burlington riding. She also was getting tired of commuting to Ottawa from Burlington all the time.
So, I'll repeat my theory... she decided to bail now because she knows the election is just weeks away, and she wants to spend those few weeks campaigning full time.

One little line, buried deep within a Globe & Mail article, and it looks like the Liberal's game plan has been leaked and now confirmed.

That's it folks... unless someone pulls a rabbit out of their hat, we're going to the polls in June.

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  • At Thu. Apr. 17, 06:25:00 p.m. EDT, Anonymous Blue Magic said…

    What if the bloc votes with the government?

    No election and Dion can say he voted againts the evil Harper government.

  • At Sun. Apr. 20, 07:14:00 p.m. EDT, Blogger Möbius said…

    Much as I disagree with it strategically, I think they must go now. It will screw Dion, but be better for the LPC overall.

    Another CPC minority will allow them to rebuild. A CPC majority for them is the only down-side.

    I'd be happy to make sure the latter happens!


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